If the work dried up tomorrow, how long could you actually keep going? Work out your real buffer, in weeks, before you would be in trouble.
Your cash flow runway is how many weeks the business could survive on the cash you have, if no new money came in at all. Add up what is in the business plus what is genuinely owed to you, divide by your weekly overheads, and that is your real buffer.
Cash on hand, plus money that is genuinely coming.
What the business needs regardless of new work.
A guide, not financial advice. Figures are estimates and assume overheads stay steady. Use your own numbers for the most accurate picture.
A full diary feels safe. It is not the same thing as a safe business. Runway is a different question entirely: not how much work is booked in, but how long the business would actually last if that stopped tomorrow. Most trades have never worked out that number, and it is one of the more useful ones to know.
Money genuinely owed to you extends your runway, but only if it is actually going to land. A reliable customer's invoice due next week is fair to count. A vague promise from a slow payer is not. When in doubt, leave it out and let your runway be a bit more conservative than optimistic.
There is no single right answer, but under a month tends to feel tight for most trade businesses, while two to three months gives genuine breathing room to ride out a quiet patch, a big unexpected bill, or a slow-paying customer without panic. The right number for you depends on how lumpy your income normally is.